Stocks freaked out Friday. VIX and bitcoin (BTC) say the fear may fade Monday.

Stocks freaked out Friday. VIX and bitcoin (BTC) say the fear may fade Monday.

Summary

The VIX rose 21.5% to 19.99 on Friday as U.S. stocks fell amid AI and geopolitical concerns. Historical data show that after 32 previous Friday jumps of at least 20%, the VIX fell the following Monday in 25 cases, though it rose in seven. Bitcoin held above $80,000 over the weekend, while its implied volatility index slipped, suggesting limited signs of broader panic. Seasonal patterns also tend to favor a lower VIX in November. Still, further volatility is possible: the VIX remains below 20 and has continued rising on some Mondays after large Friday jumps.