Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion
Polymarket bettors have wagered over $1 billion on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win the presidency, with Harris currently leading by one point. In key swing states, Harris is favored to win four out of six, consistent with historical trends. Polls indicate a close race in Wisconsin, where Harris holds a slight edge at 49% compared to Trump's 47%. Polymarket gives Harris a 56% chance of winning Wisconsin. Bitcoin shows bullish potential due to recent market conditions, but Polymarket traders assign only a 41% chance it will exceed $65,000 by October 4. Kalshi bettors are optimistic about Bitcoin's year-end performance, with a 47% chance it will finish above $75,000. The video game Black Myth: Wukong has achieved significant success, selling over 4.5 million copies in China, but Kalshi bettors give it only a 23% chance of winning Game of the Year, favoring Astro Bot at 64%.
