Bitcoin has soared over 50% on average after prior mid terms.
Summary
Bitcoin has gained an average 53.7% in the 12 months after the three U.S. midterms since 2010 with meaningful market data, while the S&P 500 has averaged 15.17% after midterms since 1950. The pattern may not reflect election effects: bitcoin’s roughly four-year halving cycle also places post-midterm years near the start of past recoveries. The piece suggests a possible crypto and equities rally after the Nov. 3, 2026 elections but stresses that the historical sample is limited. Election outcomes could affect fiscal policy and scrutiny of President Trump’s crypto interests, although markets reportedly expect Democrats to retake at least one chamber.
