Bitcoin’s Great Wealth Transfer May Fuel Next Rally, Says CryptoQuant CEO

Bitcoin’s Great Wealth Transfer May Fuel Next Rally, Says CryptoQuant CEO

Summary

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju says Bitcoin’s current distribution looks less like structural weakness and more like a major transfer of supply from OGs and miners to US institutions, ETFs, Strategy, and newer long-term holders. He argues the key issue is not just selling, but who absorbs it: if stronger liquidity providers are taking over, another rally is still possible. He notes heavy institutional absorption has not lifted price much: since early 2023, Strategy and ETFs have accumulated huge amounts of BTC, yet Bitcoin has returned to around the same level. He also points to a shift in holder composition, with the 6-month-to-2-year cohort now making up a much larger share of realized cap, suggesting short-term holders are maturing into long-term ones. Still, he sees risk: overall Bitcoin demand is contracting, and strong sell pressure persists. His outlook remains constructive, but conditional on this “change of hands” eventually becoming a stronger demand base rather than a ceiling on upside.

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