Analysts project Bitcoin to move just 2.5% on today’s CPI data
Summary
A pre-release analysis estimated a 2.5% Bitcoin move around the November 10 US inflation report, while noting elevated event-window implied volatility. It also cited a 6.3-point gap between 30-day realized volatility and Deribit’s DVOL, plus two large Bitcoin long-liquidation episodes. These figures were historical estimates, not live quotes. The comparison does not show whether protective options were cheap: realized volatility and DVOL cover different periods, and DVOL does not state the premium for a specific option. The event-window estimate lacks exact expiry and quote-time details, so it cannot be reproduced as a current hedge cost. Neither volatility measure predicts direction.
