Myriad Moves: Bitcoin and Crypto Santa Rally Odds Crater
Crypto traders are pessimistic about a year-end rally, with 96% of Myriad predictors betting against Bitcoin hitting $99,000, Ethereum reaching $3,900, Solana at $199, or BNB at $999 before December 25. All four cryptocurrencies have declined further from these targets in the past month, making a rally unlikely, and the “no rally” outlook has strengthened by 12% over the past week. On another market, 80% of predictors believe President Trump will not pardon Samourai Wallet developer Keonne Rodriguez before February, despite Trump indicating he would consider it and some advocacy group support. Rodriguez was sentenced to five years for his role in a Bitcoin mixing app, and the controversy centers on privacy rights for developers. For “Stranger Things,” only a 17% chance is given for the character Steve Harrington dying by the series conclusion on December 31, a decline from previous odds. Market rules require explicit, on-screen depiction of death for a “yes” outcome. Upcoming episodes and the finale will clarify this prediction.
