NFL Sides With States Against Kalshi in Supreme Court Prediction Market Fight

NFL Sides With States Against Kalshi in Supreme Court Prediction Market Fight

Summary

The NFL urged the Supreme Court to review a ruling that places Kalshi’s sports event contracts under the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction, backing appeals-court decisions that leave them subject to state gambling laws. The league argues Dodd-Frank covers risk hedging, not bets that create new risk, and says prediction markets lack adequate safeguards against manipulation, insider trading and underage participation. NFL-related contracts made up $1.8 billion of $3.3 billion traded across prediction markets on the season’s first Sunday. The NFL wants a ruling before the 2027 season, while saying it would seek stronger protections if the court sides with Kalshi. Other leagues have partnered with prediction markets, highlighting a divided industry as the Supreme Court considers a circuit split.