Trump's Quantum Push Wins Praise, But Experts Warn Bitcoin Isn't Ready
Trump’s executive orders ускорate the federal shift to post-quantum cryptography, moving the deadline from 2035 to 2031 and pairing it with broader quantum-security planning. Researchers largely welcomed the move but said the threat is already close enough that migration should have started sooner. Several experts said credible timelines for a cryptographically relevant quantum computer are now in the 2028–2030 range, with some estimating a meaningful chance by 2030 and substantial risk by the early 2030s. Critics argued the orders are still too slow, too focused on federal systems, and short on implementation guidance. Others said the messaging helps raise awareness, funding, and talent but may also inflate expectations. For crypto, the issue is harder: Bitcoin and other decentralized networks lack a central authority to force migration, so upgrading to quantum-resistant security will require broad coordination across developers, miners, exchanges, custodians, and holders.
